http://http://acikerisim.antalya.edu.tr:80 The DSpace digital repository system captures, stores, indexes, preserves, and distributes digital research material. 2026-04-23T03:44:12Z http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12566/2471 Economic output under a warming climate: non-linear damage effects and adaptive capacity in OECD countries Erkişi, Kemal; Sarıtaş, Başak This study examines the long-run effects of temperature anomalies on economic output in OECD countries, with a focus on non-linear damage patterns and the mitigating role of adaptive capacity. Using annual data for 38 OECD economies over 1995–2024, the analysis estimates panel models with Driscoll–Kraay standard errors within a reduced-form damage-function framework and corroborates long-run robustness using panel FMOLS. The results indicate a non-linear temperature–output relationship: moderate temperature deviations are associated with higher output, but the marginal effect weakens as anomalies intensify, consistent with rising damages at larger deviations from historical norms. Heterogeneity analyses reveal that the temperature–output response is substantially stronger and more non-linear in warm-climate OECD countries, with additional geographic heterogeneity between European and non-European OECD economies. The results further show that higher public investment and stronger health-system capacity are associated with reduced output sensitivity to temperature shocks, with this moderating role being especially pronounced in warmer climates. Taken together, these findings highlight infrastructure and health capacity as measurable, policy-relevant adaptation channels that strengthen macroeconomic resilience to climate variability in advanced economies. 2026-01-01T00:00:00Z http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12566/2470 Asymmetric threshold effects in the growth–current account deficit nexus: Evidence from Türkiye using quantile-on-quantile regression Boğa, Semra; Erkişi, Kemal This study aims to analyse the structure of the relationship between economic growth and the current account deficit in the Turkish economy and how this relationship varies across different levels of growth. It is widely acknowledged in the literature that commonly used linear econometric models often fail to capture potential asymmetries and heterogeneities between variables. Therefore, this study employs the Quantile-on-Quantile Regression method, which allows simultaneous assessment of both dependent and independent variables across various quantile levels. The analysis was conducted using quarterly data for the period 2006:Q1 to 2023:Q3. The findings reveal that the relationship between the current account deficit and economic growth is asymmetric and quantile sensitive. In particular, rising current account deficits have a negative and statistically significant effect on growth at low levels of economic expansion. Conversely, this relationship tends to weaken or reverse at higher growth levels. These results reveal that when the current account deficit exceeds a certain threshold, it becomes unsustainable and acts as a drag on growth. The findings emphasise the need to design growth policies in alignment with external balance objectives. 2026-01-01T00:00:00Z http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12566/2469 Erken yetişkinlik döneminde sosyoduygusal gelişim Kara, Demet Akçinar, Berna 2025-01-01T00:00:00Z http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12566/2468 Personal future events of immigrants: what is the role of remembering the distant or recent past? Kara, Demet; Bohn, Annette The present study investigated whether remembering the distant versus the recent personal past influences self-continuity levels and expected future event characteristics in a sample of immigrants. Seventy-three Turkish immigrants living in Denmark participated in three sessions involving questionnaires and life story interviews. In the first session, participants completed baseline measures of self-continuity, psychological wellbeing, acculturation, and demographics. In the second and third sessions, they recalled significant events and narrated life stories from pre-migration (distant past) and post-migration (recent past), followed by measures of self-continuity and wellbeing. After each memory recall, participants described three expected future events and rated them on phenomenological characteristics such as vividness and emotional valence. We analyzed differences in self-continuity and future event characteristics between the pre- and post-migration conditions, as well as the relationships among the variables, thematic content of future events, and their resemblance to cultural life scripts. Results revealed no significant differences in future event characteristics between the conditions. However, a small difference emerged in self-continuity levels: contrary to expectations, participants reported slightly higher self-continuity in the pre-migration condition than in the post-migration condition. These findings contribute to understanding of how autobiographical memory relate to future thinking and self in the context of migration. 2026-01-01T00:00:00Z